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“That’s Not Happening and It’s Good That It Is”

By Michael Anton

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A direct reading of the notes, with clickable timestamps throughout the article.

Total length: 8:38
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In one sentence

Anton argues that the contemporary ruling class maintains ideological power through recurring rhetorical reversals: it denies that feared changes will occur, celebrates them once they do, punishes people for noticing them, and portrays their resistance as proof of their moral culpability. Recognizing these patterns, he says, is a precondition for clear thought and effective resistance.

Overview

Published by The American Mind on July 26, 2021, the essay presents a “quick and dirty guide” to seven alleged forms of regime propaganda. The first three form an “Unholy Trinity”: the Law of Merited Impossibility, the Celebration Parallax, and the Law of Salutary Contradiction. Anton then adds the Smails Exhortation, the Lie-Back Imperative, the Enmity Counteraccusation, and a final abusive-relationship analogy. His central narrative is that political authorities advance controversial changes by alternating reassurance, denial, celebration, intimidation, and blame.

Core ideas

1. Law of Merited Impossibility

A proposed change is said never to have harmful consequences; anyone who predicts them is denounced as hateful or irrational. If the consequences later appear, opponents are told they deserve them. Anton presents this as a way to neutralize slippery-slope objections and impose a hierarchy between ideological innovators and dissenters.

2. Celebration Parallax

The same fact is treated as admirable or scandalous depending on who states it and whether the speaker celebrates it. The key distinction is not simply support versus opposition, but enthusiastic affirmation versus insufficient enthusiasm. Anton applies this especially to affirmative action and immigration rhetoric.

3. Law of Salutary Contradiction

Once an event previously described as impossible is visibly occurring, the response becomes: it is not happening—and its supposed occurrence would nevertheless be beneficial. Anton treats this as the present-tense counterpart to the Law of Merited Impossibility.

4. Smails Exhortation

The public is told that its ordinary political preferences are illegitimate, selfish, or dangerous, while “democracy” is redefined as whatever the ruling coalition wants. Anton lists border enforcement, law and order, trade, antiwar views, and sex-segregated facilities as examples of policies recoded as morally suspect.

5. Lie-Back Imperative

Targets of ideological attacks are expected to deny that an attack occurred or to reinterpret hostility as benevolence. Anton’s image is that victims must describe a blow as a massage. He argues that this both suppresses resistance and humiliates the target, while establishment conservatives help sustain the arrangement by minimizing explicit rhetoric.

6. Enmity Counteraccusation

Those who identify hostility are accused of creating it. If someone objects to being called evil, racist, or dangerous, the objection itself is labeled divisive or violent. Warnings about possible political conflict are likewise treated as evidence that the warning party wants conflict.

7. The final coercive bargain

Anton concludes with an abusive-relationship analogy: people portrayed as irredeemably evil are nevertheless expected to remain under the authority of those condemning them. He interprets this contradiction as evidence that the ruling class either needs its targets or wants to retain them as objects of punishment.

Underlying model: rhetoric as behavioral control

Across the seven categories, Anton sees propaganda less as persuasion through consistent argument than as management of perception and conduct. The sequence is: deny the risk, stigmatize the observer, normalize or celebrate the result, demand acceptance, and blame resistance for the resulting conflict.

Practical takeaways

Caveats and counterpoints

Questions worth revisiting

Return to this when…

Return to this essay when you want a quick rhetorical checklist for perceived ideological double standards, especially the transition from “that will never happen” to “that is not happening” to “that is good.” Pair it with primary evidence and arguments from opposing viewpoints when assessing any particular example.

References

  1. Original “That’s Not Happening and It’s Good That It Is”